Wednesday, October 10 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Hurricane Michael made landfall during the noon hour today with winds of 155mph. The outer circulation around the hurricane has allowed for the isolated showers we have seen locally so far today. A cold front to our west will arrive tonight to keep showers around until about midnight when the front will clear the area to turn our winds northwest. Clouds will slowly clear through the rest of the night with us seeing full sunshine by lunchtime on Thursday.

Cooler air will be streaming into the area from the northwest through the day, and it appears that we should see enough of it arrive that highs should be held in the 70s through the day, which is good enough to be below average. The core of this cool air blast arrives Friday morning as most of us should drop into the upper 40s with highs struggling back to the middle 70s.

We warm back into the 80s by Sunday when our next cold front arrives. We continue to see timing inconsistencies within the models, so I am going to hold with our going forecast except to bump highs up a nudge on Sunday and then bring in cooler air on Wednesday. Confidence is lower than normal in days five through seven on the forecast.